Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 0.014260 0.016581 0.019143 0.022180 0.025681 0.029587 0.034274
2026-01-04 0.011104 0.014179 0.017886 0.022676 0.028696 0.036001 0.045532
2026-01-11 0.008501 0.011779 0.016047 0.021990 0.030034 0.040523 0.055219
2026-01-18 0.006824 0.010167 0.014820 0.021741 0.031737 0.045612 0.066289
2026-01-25 0.005501 0.008749 0.013555 0.021136 0.032739 0.049763 0.076559
2026-02-01 0.004549 0.007679 0.012571 0.020711 0.033839 0.054085 0.087549
2026-02-08 0.003853 0.006869 0.011828 0.020491 0.035143 0.058783 0.099623
2026-02-15 0.003243 0.006086 0.010987 0.019945 0.035783 0.062429 0.110381
2026-02-22 0.002957 0.005815 0.010957 0.020752 0.038772 0.070256 0.129031
2026-03-01 0.002598 0.005344 0.010494 0.020698 0.040204 0.075531 0.143830
2026-03-08 0.002209 0.004748 0.009705 0.019909 0.040151 0.078107 0.153999
2026-03-15 0.001948 0.004363 0.009259 0.019708 0.041164 0.082717 0.168445
2026-03-22 0.001839 0.004285 0.009427 0.020783 0.044879 0.093002 0.195276
2026-03-29 0.001692 0.004102 0.009349 0.021335 0.047606 0.101680 0.219990
2026-04-05 0.001472 0.003713 0.008772 0.020732 0.047815 0.105276 0.234730
2026-04-12 0.001311 0.003434 0.008398 0.020519 0.048835 0.110670 0.253887
2026-04-19 0.001148 0.003125 0.007904 0.019958 0.048989 0.114204 0.269405
2026-04-26 0.001018 0.002872 0.007506 0.019562 0.049465 0.118487 0.287075
2026-05-03 0.000914 0.002671 0.007206 0.019357 0.050359 0.123801 0.307697
2026-05-10 0.000808 0.002445 0.006806 0.018842 0.050420 0.127171 0.324127
2026-05-17 0.000771 0.002408 0.006893 0.019606 0.053804 0.138851 0.361924
2026-05-24 0.000703 0.002269 0.006687 0.019556 0.055072 0.145501 0.388071
2026-05-31 0.000617 0.002059 0.006251 0.018809 0.054394 0.147205 0.401930